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2020 US Senate : Minnesota

Tina Smith
Jason Lewis

Etholytics Rating: Likely Blue

Minnesota Senate - Smith vs. Lewis
Etholytics Projection Jason Lewis (R) Tina Smith (D)
Projected Vote Share Members Only 
Projected Vote Share w/ Polling Members Only 
Chance to Win % Members Only 
Raw Model Vote Share Members Only 
Vote with 2016 Turnout Members Only 
Vote with 2018 Turnout Members Only 

Recent Polling

These are the most recent pubic polls available for this race. For adjustment for polling bias, check the Adjustment Leader column. The adjustment is made using historical polling from the given poll related to the specific state.

Jason Lewis

Views: Right Wing

Age: 64

Party: Republican

Years In Office: 0

Previous Office: US House MN-02

Biggest Endorsement: Mike Pence

Tina Smith

Views: Center-Left

Age: 62

Party: Republican

Years In Office: 2

Previous Office: LG of Minnesota

Biggest Endorsement: Amy Klobuchar

DATE POLLSTER SAMPLE SMITH LEWIS LEADER SMITH LEWIS ADJUSTED LEADER
9/21-9/23 Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon 49% 41% Smith+8 56+ Members Only 
9/20-9/24 USA Today/Suffolk 45% 35% Smith+10 98 Members Only 
9/9-9/11 CBS News/YouGov 47% 40% Smith+7 44 Members Only 
9/8-9/10 NY Times/Siena 49% 40% Smith+9 78 12 65 87