General Election
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2020 Senate Elections
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Montana Senate - Bullock vs. Daines | ||
Etholytics Projection | Steve Daines (R) | Steve Bullock (D) |
Projected Vote Share | Members Only ![]() |
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Projected Vote Share w/ Polling | Members Only ![]() |
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Chance to Win % | Members Only ![]() |
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Raw Model Vote Share | Members Only ![]() |
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Vote with 2016 Turnout | Members Only ![]() |
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Vote with 2018 Turnout | Members Only ![]() |
These are the most recent pubic polls available for this race. For adjustment for polling bias, check the Adjustment Leader column. The adjustment is made using historical polling from the given poll related to the specific state.
Views: Center-Right
Age: 58
Party: Republican
Years In Office: 6
Previous Office: US House MT-AL
Biggest Endorsement: Donald Trump Jr.
Views: Center-Left
Age: 54
Party: Democrat
Years In Office: 0
Previous Office: Governor of Montana
Biggest Endorsement: Kamala Harris
DATE | POLLSTER | SAMPLE | BULLOCK | DAINES | LEADER | BULLOCK | DAINES | ADJUSTED LEADER |
9/14-9/16 | NY Times/Siena | 625 LV | 44% | 45% | Daines+1 | Members Only ![]() |
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7/31-8/2 | Emerson | 584 LV | 44% | 50% | Daines+6 | Members Only ![]() |
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- | - | - | - | - | - | Members Only ![]() |
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7/9-7/10 | PPP | 1224 RV | 46% | 44% | Bullock+2 | 44.8% | 45.2% | Daines+0.4 |