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2020 US Senate : Montana

All States

Steve Bullock
Steve Daines

Etholytics Rating: Lean Red

Montana Senate - Bullock vs. Daines
Etholytics Projection Steve Daines (R) Steve Bullock (D)
Projected Vote Share Members Only 
Projected Vote Share w/ Polling Members Only 
Chance to Win % Members Only 
Raw Model Vote Share Members Only 
Vote with 2016 Turnout Members Only 
Vote with 2018 Turnout Members Only 

Recent Polling

These are the most recent pubic polls available for this race. For adjustment for polling bias, check the Adjustment Leader column. The adjustment is made using historical polling from the given poll related to the specific state.

Steve Daines

Views: Center-Right

Age: 58

Party: Republican

Years In Office: 6

Previous Office: US House MT-AL

Biggest Endorsement: Donald Trump Jr.

Steve Bullock

Views: Center-Left

Age: 54

Party: Democrat

Years In Office: 0

Previous Office: Governor of Montana

Biggest Endorsement: Kamala Harris

DATE POLLSTER SAMPLE BULLOCK DAINES LEADER BULLOCK DAINES ADJUSTED LEADER
9/14-9/16 NY Times/Siena 625 LV 44% 45% Daines+1 Members Only 
7/31-8/2 Emerson 584 LV 44% 50% Daines+6 Members Only 
- - - - - - Members Only 
7/9-7/10 PPP 1224 RV 46% 44% Bullock+2 44.8% 45.2% Daines+0.4