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2020 US Senate : North Carolina

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Cal Cunnigham
Thom Tillis

Etholytics Rating: Toss Up

North Carolina Senate - Tillis vs. Cunningham
Etholytics Projection Thom Tillis (R) Cal Cunnigham (D)
Projected Vote Share Members Only 
Projected Vote Share w/ Polling Members Only 
Chance to Win % Members Only 
Raw Model Vote Share Members Only 
Vote with 2016 Turnout Members Only 
Vote with 2018 Turnout Members Only 

Recent Polling

These are the most recent pubic polls available for this race. For adjustment for polling bias, check the Adjustment Leader column. The adjustment is made using historical polling from the given poll related to the specific state.

Thom Tillis

Views: Center-Right

Age: 60

Party: Republican

Years In Office: 6

Previous Office: Speaker of the North Carolina House

Biggest Endorsement: George W Bush

Cal Cunningham

Views: Center-Left

Age: 47

Party: Republican

Years In Office: 0

Previous Office: North Carolina Senate

Biggest Endorsement: Amy Klobuchar

DATE POLLSTER SAMPLE CUNNINGHAM TILLIS LEADER CUNNINGHAM TILLIS ADJUSTED LEADER
9/22-9/25 CBS News/YouGov 1194 LV 48% 38% Cunningham+10 Members Only 
9/17-9/20 Civitas/Harper 612 LV 44% 38% Cunningham+6 Members Only 
9/16-9/18 Emerson 717 LV 49% 43% Cunningham+6 Members Only 
9/11-9/16 NY Times/Siena 653 LV 42% 37% Cunningham+5 40.5% 38.5% Cunningham+2.0