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2020 US Senate : Texas

MJ Hegar
John Cornyn

Etholytics Rating: Likely Red

Texas Senate - Cornyn vs. Hegar
Etholytics Projection John Cornyn (R) MJ Hegar (D)
Projected Vote Share Members Only 
Projected Vote Share w/ Polling Members Only 
Chance to Win % Members Only 
Raw Model Vote Share Members Only 
Vote with 2016 Turnout Members Only 
Vote with 2018 Turnout Members Only 

Recent Polling

These are the most recent pubic polls available for this race. For adjustment for polling bias, check the Adjustment Leader column. The adjustment is made using historical polling from the given poll related to the specific state.

John Cornyn

Views: Center-Right

Age: 68

Party: Republican

Years In Office: 18

Previous Office: AG of Texas

Biggest Endorsement: Ted Cruz

MJ Hegar

Views: Center-Left

Age: 44

Party: Democrat

Years In Office: 0

Previous Office: None

Biggest Endorsement: Elizabeth Warren

DATE POLLSTER SAMPLE HEGAR CORNYN LEADER HEGAR CORNYN ADJUSTED LEADER
9/17-9/21 Quinnipiac 1078 LV 50% 42% Cornyn+8 Members Only 
9/16-9/21 NY Times/Siena 653 LV 43% 37% Cornyn+6 Members Only 
9/15-9/18 CBS News/YouGov 1205 LV 46% 41% Cornyn+5 Members Only 
8/28-9/2 Dallas Morning News 901 LV 39% 28% Cornyn+11 41.4% 29.0% Cornyn+12.4