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Presidential Election: Iowa

Joe Biden
Donald Trump

Etholytics Rating: Lean Red

Iowa - Trump vs. Biden
Etholytics Projection Trump Biden
Projected Vote Share Members Only 
Projected Vote with Polling Members Only 
Chance to Win % Members Only 
Raw Model Vote Share Members Only 
Vote with 2016 Turnout Members Only 
Vote with 2018 Turnout Members Only 

Recent Polling

These are the most recent pubic polls available for this race. For adjustment for polling bias, check the Adjustment Leader column. The adjustment is made using historical polling from the given poll related to the specific state.

Biden Trump
Male Members Only 
Female Members Only 
White Members Only 
Black Members Only 
Asian Members Only 
Hispanic Members Only 
Other Members Only 
18-29 Members Only 
30-44 Members Only 
45-64 Members Only 
65+ 48% 48%
DATE POLLSTER SAMPLE BIDEN TRUMP LEADER BIDEN TRUMP ADJUSTED LEADER
10/1-10/5 Quinnipiac LV 50% 45% Biden+5 Members Only 
9/18-9/22 Monmouth LV 46% 49% Trump+3 Members Only 
9/16-9/21 NYT/Siena LV 45% 42% Biden+3 Members Only 
9/14-9/17 Des Moines Register LV 47% 47% Tied 48.5% 45.5% Trump+3

Recent Polling

These are the most recent pubic polls available for this race. For adjustment for polling bias, check the Adjustment Leader column. The adjustment is made using historical polling from the given poll related to the specific state.