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Presidential Election: Michigan

Joe Biden
Donald Trump

Etholytics Rating: Tossup

Michigan - Trump vs. Biden
Etholytics Projection Trump Biden
Projected Vote Share Members Only 
Projected Vote with Polling Members Only 
Chance to Win % Members Only 
Raw Model Vote Share Members Only 
Vote with 2016 Turnout Members Only 
Vote with 2018 Turnout Members Only 

Recent Polling

These are the most recent pubic polls available for this race. For adjustment for polling bias, check the Adjustment Leader column. The adjustment is made using historical polling from the given poll related to the specific state.

DATE POLLSTER SAMPLE BIDEN TRUMP LEADER BIDEN TRUMP ADJUSTED LEADER
9/30-10/3 Detroit News/WDIV-TV LV 48% 39% Biden+9 Members Only 
9/20-9/22 Trafalgar LV 46% 47% Trump+1 Members Only 
9/19-9/22 NBC News/Marist LV 52% 44% Biden+8 Members Only 
9/14-9/19 MRG LV 46% 41% Biden+5 45.9% 41.1% Biden+4.8

Recent Polling

These are the most recent pubic polls available for this race. For adjustment for polling bias, check the Adjustment Leader column. The adjustment is made using historical polling from the given poll related to the specific state.